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aderfp633 · Inscrit le: 27 Sep 2011 Messages: 7915 Localisation: England

Growth rate of 7.5%: China's economy how to hold the bottom line?
highly anticipated semi-annual report on the 15th of China's economy "released." Moderate growth rate down, China's economic development to a new stage of the inevitable result of structural adjustment is necessary. In severe and complicated environment, growth continued downward background, how the Chinese economy hold the bottom line?
main indicators are still in a reasonable range

preliminary accounting data show that the second quarter of this year, China's economic growth rate was 7.5%, the growth rate down 0.2 percentage points from the first quarter, while growth in the first quarter off than last year's fourth quarter, down by 0.2 percentage points.
Previously, in addition to last year's fourth quarter rebound in economic growth, the first quarter from the previous year to the third quarter last year, China's economic growth for seven consecutive quarters of declining growth rate. Sustained decline sparked fears the Chinese economy.
"overall smooth running of the economy, the growth rate dropped slightly, the main index is still in reasonable range expected for the year." NBS spokesman Sheng Yun at the State Council Information Office held a press conference that the economic has been running for five consecutive quarters in the 7.4 to 7.9 percent range, employment has been largely stable.
For economic growth to bring down
concerns even panic, vice president of Peking University, economist Liu believes that the Chinese such a big country, the current 7-8 percent growth rate is not low among , especially in the context of the international financial crisis to achieve this growth rate is not easy, should not be too worried.
fact, the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" proposed annual economic growth target of 7%, this year's government work report 's annual economic growth rate target of 7.5% in the first half growth rate is still expected reasonable space.
Economic Update released after
, A shares for several days after a turn downward trend. Day morning, the Shanghai Composite Index closed up 1.46 percent the previous day, Shenzhen Component Index rose 2.37 percent.
"Chinese economy did not discuss the recovery of some people died, a hard landing in a very bad situation, etc. The current situation can be called a 'weak recovery', upward momentum is not strong downward pressure, rebound are required solid. "long-term study of China's macroeconomic cycles China Academy of Social Sciences academician Liu Shucheng said.
overall smooth running of the economy at the same time, structural adjustment steady progress. More than half of the national high-tech industry growth rate of above-scale industrial growth rate 2.3 percentage points higher than the national unit GDP energy consumption fell by 3.4%.
to be vigilant and guard against the risk of economic stall
excessive pessimism on the Chinese economy and even panic although not necessary, but pessimism is indeed not come out of nowhere, the current economic downward pressure and cumulative indeed worthy of vigilance and risk prevention.
"cold bursts", which is Yiwu punctuation import Dingsheng Guang, general manager of the feelings on the business situation. This first half of foreign trade companies in Europe and America, the Middle East business fell more than Liu Cheng. "U.S. customers that the original supermarket socks are a dozen a package, and gradually changed to a half-dozen one package, and now even immune to sell two pairs of a package, which is a danger signal,motorcycle brake lever, possibly the coldest time yet to come."
Li Zhibin
Chinese SME Association pointed out, the majority of SMEs to the economy is expected to lack of confidence, which is the most worrying.
is in transition from rapid growth to a medium-speed growth "phase shift" in China's economy, the current encounter complex and difficult situation. Support conditions and external market changes, making the problem of excess capacity is more prominent, business difficulties increase, the traditional investment-driven model can not continue to force; Real Estate regulation is in stalemate period, part of the first-tier cities in the purchase car , consumption upgrade encountered "obstruction."
"Although the growth rate down slightly, but the trend is always downward. should strive to reverse this trend, and now we must make policy and project reserves, once growth is approaching the bottom line can always be targeted to sell. "China International Economic and Exchange Center Consulting Research Vice Minister Wang Jun said.
economic growth ultimate aim is to benefit the people, but the first half of the income level of residents, although a certain level of growth, but the growth rate dropped significantly, people generally feel tight purse. In order to stabilize employment, increase income, the Chinese economy needs to maintain a certain growth rate. Liu Shucheng believes that the current macro-control policies have a certain space, you can strive to make the economy run from the "weak recovery" into the "moderate recovery" situation.
domestic demand, there is still a huge space, but policy can no longer take the "flood irrigation" method. The 12th meeting of the State Council executive meeting of the deployment of energy-saving environmental protection industry to accelerate the development, promotion of information consumption and stimulate domestic effective demand, revealing new ideas. The selected starting point to stimulate domestic demand more precise, more attention to the market to play the main role, both to stabilize economic growth, and promote structural adjustment, too.
rely on structural adjustment pro-growth reforms hold the bottom line
further sort out the current problems facing the Chinese economy can be roughly divided into three categories: short-term economic growth problems, long-term structural adjustment issues and deepen the reform behind the deep-seated problems. How to deal with these three issues?
Premier Li Keqiang recently stressed that our country is in economic transformation and upgrading in order to rely on the sustained and healthy development stage, co-ordination to promote the steady growth, adjusting structure, promoting reform is very important.
stabilize economic growth at the same time, structural adjustment and deepen the reform not only can not be ignored, but should be more attention. In a sense, adjusting structure, promoting reform of the Chinese economy is another bottom line.
"Now that you have paid the cost of declining growth rate, structural adjustment must be harvested." Liu reminded that the current would rather bear the pain should be determined and eliminated a number of backward production capacity of enterprises, digestion troubled years overcapacity.
State Council Development Research Center of Macroeconomic Zhang Liqun said in the throes of economic restructuring, business and government must have a clear understanding. Can not always be looking forward to have an unexpected positive, but to really determined on the transformation and upgrading.
economic growth as river levels, when the water level dropped, the reef will be revealed; when the economic growth rate down, the long-term potential conflicts of institutional mechanisms will be exposed. GDP in the M2 balance nearing still appears twice in the context of the Bank "money shortage" fully exposed the banking system funds Configuring distorted institutional issues; background in real estate, "land finance" affected local government debt issues highlighted; haze, groundwater pollution and other environmental problems frequently, high energy consumption and high pollution industries how to govern the future become a problem ......
reform, China's economic hope for the future. April to June, a total of three times a State Council executive meeting cancellation and decentralization of administrative examination and approval of 165 projects and other matters, highlighting the government's own reform led to the reform of the firm determination; After that the financial support for economic restructuring, active financial stock funds deployed a series of reform measures restricting China's economic development to proceed to resolve the deep-rooted constraints.
"China's economic trend of late has reason to believe that tomorrow will be better than today." Sheng Yun said.

(Editor: DF056)

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