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aderfp633 · Inscrit le: 27 Sep 2011 Messages: 7915 Localisation: England

Don't play Play now More video Recommended Click to play video Abbott: 'The people finally get their say' Click to play video Surplus projection like 'winning the lottery' Click to play video 'Labor will never deliver a surplus' Click to play video Unemployment to rise with new deficit Click to play video 'Not a crisis, but a transition' Replay video Return to video Video settings Please Log in to update your video settings How did we get here? The road to Tony Abbott's election as Prime Minster is paved with bitter Labor leadership spills. PT3M36S http://www.smh.com.au/action/externalEmbeddedPlayer?id=d-2tddj 620 349 September 8, 2013 Autoplay OnOff Video feedback Video settings About 10 days before Kevin Rudd called the election, he presented Labor strategists with the right slogan for the wrong assignment, one he had developed in discussion with the creative force behind his successful 2007 campaign,[url=http://www.officefurniturehut.com/Canada_Goose_coats.html]Canada Goose coats[/url], Neil Lawrence. ''A new way'' was designed to project a fresh approach and a commitment to ''new politics'' and, as with most things Kevin, he had his way. Problem was, it was a slogan more suited to that first Rudd campaign when everything was new - and not the one that was crafted while Julia Gillard was still prime minister. It amounted to an invitation for the campaign to be all about Labor (and Kevin) and it backfired badly, jarring with the electorate and giving Tony Abbott one of his more potent seven-second grabs: ''If you want a 'new way', elect a new government''. Now,[url=http://www.bowlingdelights.com/Canada_Goose_Jakke.html]Canada Goose Jakke[/url], Rudd's slogan is perfect for the daunting task Labor faces after recording its lowest primary vote since the Depression. Labor needs ''a new way'' to rebuild the trust of the electorate, the confidence of its base and the ambition of its embattled representatives. Advertisement But here's the rub: the only way it will have any chance of working is if the man who coined it,[url=http://www.fieg.it/Moncler_Prezzi.asp]Moncler Prezzi[/url], and who ''saved the furniture'' in the election, plays no part in it. In fact, a prerequisite for its success is that he departs the scene altogether. There is but one upside for Labor to its thumping defeat on Saturday and it has two dimensions: Labor has been left with enough talent (including some fresh faces) and enough seats to be an effective opposition; and the destructive Rudd-Gillard-Rudd era is surely over. Labor's primary vote is some five percentage points worse than the rout of 1996, but the Coalition's victory in terms of seats won is more modest than John Howard's victory over Paul Keating. The generational carnage that was so widely predicted did not materialise; nor did the platform for a three-term Abbott government. The starting point for a Labor recovery is to accept, as a bevy of senior figures did on Saturday night, that the debilitating divisions of the past three years were the principal, indeed the overwhelming, cause of its defeat - and that the only way forward is to follow the Coalition's example under Abbott of unqualified unity and discipline. No one said it better than outgoing health minister Tanya Plibersek: ''I would give us nine out of 10 for governing the country,[url=http://www.everything-dallascowboys.com/Cheap_NFL-Jerseys.html]Cheap NFL Jerseys[/url],'' she told ABC TV. ''I'd give us 0/10 for governing ourselves. I think it's pretty plain we had too many people playing their own games and not playing for the team.'' But who will assume command? The two main contenders, Bill Shorten and Anthony Albanese, were circumspect on Sunday about their intentions, but both were emphatic on the key point - that the party had to unite behind whoever emerged in charge. Under the reforms initiated by Rudd, the process for replacing him is convoluted and goes something like this: until the caucus meets,[url=http://www.bragardusa.com/Canada_Goose_Parka.html]Canada Goose Parka[/url], probably on Thursday or Friday,[url=http://www.fieg.it/Piumini_Moncler.asp]Piumini Moncler[/url], Albanese will be the interim leader as the second most senior figure to Rudd. I say ''something like this'' because caucus secretary Gavin Marshall declined to outline the process to Fairfax Media. At the caucus meeting, nominations for the leadership will open and, if Albanese puts his name forward,[url=http://www.doctorreef.com/canadagoosejackets.html]canada goose jackets[/url], the next most senior member of the parliamentary party, Penny Wong, would become interim leader. Nominations would close after a week and, if there is more than one candidate, there would be a ballot of the caucus and a ballot of party members, both worth 50 per cent. That would take up to four weeks. It could all be over in a fortnight if the caucus unites behind one nomination (meaning no rank and file ballot would be required) and the most likely scenario here is for Shorten to be backed as leader and Albanese as his deputy. Other contenders could include Chris Bowen, Plibersek, Mark Butler and Jason Clare. Albanese is a proven performer in Parliament who is popular with his colleagues. Shorten has antagonised some by his role in the Gillard-Rudd leadership changes and in recent preselections in Victoria, but he is a man of policy substance who was the original (and lonely) champion of a national disability insurance scheme. Paul Keating's presence at his campaign launch was a sign that he is held in high regard. ''Bill Shorten is the person the Labor Party needs to build its future around,'' says veteran Victorian MP Anthony Byrne. ''He has the breadth of experience, empathy and is a once-in-a-generation cut-through politician.'' While there is an argument for having a contest and involving the rank and file in a vote for a new leader to showcase the party reforms, the greater imperative is for the caucus to demonstrate that it understands the lessons of this defeat and coalesce around a consensus candidate. The need to get it right is reinforced by the new rule that it would take a petition signed by 60 per cent of the caucus to bring on a challenge if things turn sour. Three other priorities are clear if Labor is to be a viable choice in three years, but each of them stems from the choice of who is placed in charge. The first is to be as effective in opposition as Tony Abbott and the Coalition were over the past four years, and here the indications are that no quarter will be given on the commitment to pricing carbon, or on anything else. ''Tony has earned no goodwill from the Labor Party - and it will return no goodwill to him,'' is how one well-placed source expressed it . The second priority is to develop a policy framework that builds on the achievements of the Rudd and Gillard governments, links them to the open economic model of Hawke and Keating and adapts it to new challenges. It was Keating who remarked that ''the long policy shadow is what reaps the reward'', yet Labor failed to communicate its policy achievements in government and Rudd lacked a consistent and compelling narrative in the campaign. ''The Labor Party can be back on its feet very quickly if it adopts a policy framework, but they must eschew all opportunism of the Rudd and Bruce Hawker variety,'' insiders say,[url=http://www.fieg.it/Scripts/salastampa_gailleria.asp]moncler uomo[/url], referring to the influence Hawker wielded as Rudd's travelling adviser, and ideas that emerged like thought bubbles on the campaign trail. Another insider agrees, giving Rudd a tick for presiding over a much better result than loomed a few months ago, when it was feared the party would be left with fewer than 30 lower house seats. ''But what he hasn't left is a legacy of what Labor stands for,[url=http://www.nothingbuttruth.com/canadagoosejackets.html]canada goose jackets[/url], or should stand for.'' The third challenge is to harness the talent that survived and the new blood that has arrived, including Nova Peris, the first Aboriginal woman to be elected to the lower house (only after Gillard's intervention), and Clare O'Neil, who studied at Harvard on a Fulbright scholarship after being the country's youngest female mayor at the city of Greater Dandenong and succeeds Simon Crean in the seat of Hotham. A related challenge is to ensure that Labor attracts more candidates of this quality by 2016, especially in the Senate, which one insider describes as an absolute wasteland. ''They have a chance to do something about it over the next three years, but do they have discipline and will?'' he asks. For a ''new way'' to succeed, the onus will be on Rudd to follow the example of Gillard and leave politics, but not right away. ''He should do the Labor thing for once in his life and wait until the new government is on the nose, in six months, eight months, or 20 months,[url=http://www.soakwash.com/Canada_Goose_Parka.html]Canada Goose Parka[/url],'' says one well-placed insider. And then he oughta zip!
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